Sahil Alvi

With a view to informing the readers of this blog of value (and sometimes, ‘deep value’) investment opportunities on a regular basis, I am launching this blog-stream that will offer up a few specific investment ideas.

Before I get into specific names, let me define ‘value’ as I see it. There are certain metrics which — either in combination or on their own – will qualify specific investments as deep value in my view:

1. P-E Ratio: Any equity trading less than P-E ratio of 10 or less.

2. 52-Week Trading Range: Any equity that trades within 25% of its 52-week low (in combination with the other metrics).

3. Dividend Yield: Any company that offers a Dividend Yield of more than 3%  (in combination with the other metrics).

4. Positive Cashflow Entity’s Negative Event-driven Moves: Any cashflow positive company with net margins of 10% or more  whose equity has seen more than a 20% price reversal within a week (in combination with the other metrics). Such equities are particularly well-suited for tactical, opportunistic, event-driven ’snap-back’ trades.

Now that we’ve defined ‘value,’ let us move on to the first edition of ‘value’ recommendations. In this edition, I would like to cover a few mining stories:

1. Vale (NYSE: VALE):

• The world’s largest iron ore producer trades at a modest P-E multiple of less than 6.0
• This Brazilian miner offers a generous dividend yield of 5.1%
• The stock is currently trading roughly 15% above its 52-week lows

2. Anglo American (PINK: AAUKY)

• This large, diversified global miner trades at a P-E multiple of a little over 7.5
• It trades within roughly 20% of its 52-week lows

3. Cliffs Natural Resources (NYSE: CLF)

• This American-headquartered miner trades on a multiple that is a little over 6.0
• It offers a healthy dividend yield of 3.5%

4. Barrick Gold (NYSE: ABX)

• The world’s largest gold producer trades on P-E of just over 9.0
• The stock is trading within 5% of its 52-week lows

5. BHP Billiton – ADR (NYSE: BHP / NYSE: BBL)

• The world’s largest miner trades both its ADR’s on NYSE below P-E multiples of 8.5
• Both of the company’s ADR’s provide a dividend yield higher 3%

In the coming weeks and months, more such ‘deep value’ investing ideas are to follow.

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